One race. One shot. Everything on the line. The 2026 Blue Grass Stakes is one of the the last chances for rising stars to punch their ticket to the 2026 Kentucky Derby. Who steps up when it matters most?

This video looks at the race architecture meaning track design and pace and evaluates the 7 contenders running in the Blue Grass Stakes 2026. NEWS ALERT: CLASS PRESIDENT (2) AND OCELLI (7) SCRATCHED.

The 2026 Blue Grass Stakes is run at Keeneland in Lexington Kentucky on Saturday April 4th and is one of the last Kentucky Derby prep races that awards 100 points to the winner.

Meet the contenders:

1. Talkin (Trainer Danny Gargan). Impressive two year old season outside of the G2 Remsen. May have been too aggressive in the Tampa Bay Derby.

2. Class President (Trainer: Todd Pletcher) SCRATCHED from the 2026 Blue Grass Stakes

3. Great White (Trainer: John Ennis) Talented runner on the synthetic. Winner of the John Battaglia Memorial. Will he take to the dirt and eat them all up in the Blue Grass Stakes 2026?

4. Reagan’s Honor (Trainer: Cherie DeVaux) The only horse in the field to win against older horses and did so by 6 lengths.

5. Creole Chrome (Trainer: Joe Sharp) Has been polished at the Fair Grounds, winning three of four — but this is a much shinier field, and the class jump is real here in the Blue Grass Stakes.

6.Further Ado (Trainer: Brad Cox). Won by 20 lengths right here at Keeneland. Back after finishing second in the Tampa Bay Derby

7. Ocelli (Trainer: Whitworth Beckman) SCRATCHED from the 2026 Blue Grass Stakes

8. Moonstrocity (Trainer: Jena Antonucci) May sound larger than life — but with just a couple starts since February, this might be a giant leap a little too soon.

9. Ottinho (Trainer: Chad Brown) Two tries at this distance and one win - heart, fight, and blinkers are going on.

Tips are for informational purposes only. This video is for informational and educational purposes only. All opinions are my own and not intended as betting advice. If you do wager, do so responsibly.

Every horse in the 2026 Wood Memorial has talent… but every single one also has something to prove. From distance questions to class tests to post positions— this is a field full of question marks ????????

The Wood Memorial 2026 is one of the last of the 2026 Kentucky Derby prep races and awards 100 points to the winner. For me, this has been the toughest Kentucky Derby prep race to analyze. In this video, I am going to relay how the track design may impact the race as well as provide insights into the pace and the running style that is typically favored in this race.

Then we meet each of the 13 contenders and ask:

🐎 Who fits the race shape

🐎 Which contenders have upside and which have concerns

🐎 Every question each horse has to answer There is no clear standout in this race so many questions must be answered.

Meet the Contenders:

✨ 1. Napoleon Solo (Trainer: Chad Summers). Dominant victory in the Grade 1 Champagne but can he get back to that level of performance and prove the distance is in him?

✨ 2. Talk to Me Jimmy (Trainer: Rudy Rodriguez). Dominant victory right here going this distance but was his speed really that light?

✨ 3. Right to Party (Trainer: Kenneth McPeek). Is he in the right party, can he prove he can hang with this class of runners in the Wood Memorial 2026?

✨ 4. Steel (Trainer: Bill Mott). Comes into this race with only one race underneath of him but it was a win. Does he have the foundation for the Wood Memorial?

✨ 5. Ocelli (Trainer: Whitworth Beckman). Is still a maiden. Will the equipment change help and will he find the winners' circle in the 2026 Wood Memorial.

✨ 6. Minorinconvenience (Trainer: Amelia Green). Stepping up to an open race after being in state bred and restricted races. Talented with a win here at Aqueduct.

✨ 7. Albus (Trainer: Riley Mott). His sire says sprinter but damsire says distance. Which one will dominate?

✨ 8. Courting (Trainer: Todd Pletcher). $5MM horse, elite pedigree, but lukewarm performances. Does he step up today?

✨ 9. Bravaro (Trainer: Saffie Joseph, Jr). Ready to shine, getting back to the surface he likes. But does his performance behind Nearly suggest something else?

✨ 10. Red Zone Runner (Trainer: Hugo Padilla). Big performance last time out, will be part of the pace, can he back up that prior performance?

✨ 11. Ottinho (Trainer: Chad Brown). A Chad Brown runner with heart and grit.

✨ 12. Buetane (Trainer: Bob Baffert). Talented but can he stop the regression?

✨ 13. Iron Honor (Trainer: Chad Brown). Undefeated here at Aqueduct but post 13?

Tips are for informational purposes only. This video is for informational and educational purposes only. All opinions are my own and not intended as betting advice. Horse betting is not legal in all states so if you are betting, make sure it is legal. And if you do wager, do it responsibly.

Arkansas Derby 2026 Preview, Eight contenders. Kentucky Derby points on the line. And a race shape that may matter more than raw talent. Will we see a fast paced race now that Napoleon Solo is scratched? Will it set up for the closers or will tactical, stalking style speed win? The Arkansas Derby awards 100 Kentucky Derby points to the winner meaning they will get a spot in that starting gate of Kentucky Derby 152.

In this analysis, I take you through the race architecture and how track design and pace may impact the race. The Arkansas Derby will be run at the mile and an eighth distance, the longest distance for most of these runners so far. Then I go through each of the contenders and evaluate their strengths, weaknesses, and how they fit the structure of the race.

Meet the contenders who want into the 2026 Kentucky Derby 🐎

1. Redland Rebels (Trainer: Patrick Biancone). Likes the lead, one and only win was on the turf. Would need to be able to get the extra distance in the 2026 Arkansas Derby.

2. Silent Tactic (Trainer: Mark Casse). Announces himself late with the big late kick. Likes Oaklawn and has always been in the exacta.

3. Blackout Time (Trainer: Kenny McPeek). Last time out it was lights out. But he may have needed that race. Stalking style and impressive workout leading into the 2026 Arkansas Derby.

4. Bricklin (Trainer: Rodolphe Brisset). Likes the lead but has not done well in classy competiton.

5. Taptastic (Trainer: Steve Asmussen). Only one race. Is he the next Emerging Market. Strong pedigree.

6. Renegade (Trainer: Todd Pletcher). Class, speed, late speed, and trainer looking for his 6th Arkansas Derby win.

7. Napoleon Solo - scratched

8. Exosome (Trainer: Kelsey Danner). Deeper ecosystem here. Would need to improve to win the 2026 Arkansas Derby

9. Litmus Test (Trainer: Bob Baffert). Blinkers off - will he be more tactical. Brings class to Arkansas Derby 2026.

Race Details:

📆 Saturday March 28, 2026

📍Oaklawn Park

🏆 100 Kentucky Derby points to the winner

This information is for educational purposes only and does not constitute betting advice. Tips are for informational purposes. Horse betting is not legal everywhere so if you are betting, make sure it is legal

The 2026 Louisiana Derby at the Fair Grounds in New Orleans is the longest Kentucky Derby prep race and awards 100 Kentucky Derby points to the winner! This means the winner is guaranteed a spot in the 2026 Kentucky Derby. In order to win this 1 and 3/16th mile race, horses need both stamina and speed. In addition, the stretch is the longest out of the US tracks meaning closers have time to close and speedy horses need to evenly distribute their energy. This video examines all 9 contenders in the 2026 Louisiana Derby and how well they fit into the race architecture.

The Contenders

Post Position 1: Pavlovian (Trainer: Doug O'Neill). Winner of the Sunland Derby. Showed heart as he dueled down the stretch. Also had a strong gallop out which suggests he can get the distance of the Louisiana Derby

Post Position 2: Autobahn (Trainer: Brad Cox). First two races were unremarkable but showed talent in the last race. Does he have the acceleration to win the Louisiana Derby? Post

Position 3: Chip Honcho (Trainer: Steve Asmussen). Knows and likes the track. Speedy type that almost won the Risen Star here at the Fair Grounds over Paladin.

Post Position 4: Universe (Trainer: Kenny McPeek). Has the class but is lacking the wins and speed.

Post Position 5: Golden Tempo (Trainer: Cherie DeVaux). Blinkers go on as this closer needs to be more engaged early. Likes the track and loves the stretch here at the Fair Grounds in New Orleans.

Post Position 6: Spirit of Royal (Trainer: Dallas Stewart). Brings the spirit but is lacking speed and potentially distance ability. Trainer can stun!

Post Position 7: Blacksmith (Trainer: Bob Baffert). Bob Baffert does not typically send his horses to the Louisiana Derby. This horse in intriguing here.

Post Position 8: Easterly (Trainer: Brad Cox). Lightly raced but talented with a strong gallop out suggesting he can get the extra distance. Brings the TizNow influence in his pedigree.

Post Position 9: Emerging Market (Trainer: Chad Brown). One big effort, lots of speed, but will it carry over to the Fairgrounds and the 1 and 3/16th distance of the Louisiana Derby?

This video is for informational and educational purposes only. All opinions are my own and not intended as betting advice. Please wager responsibly. Racing Tips are for Informational Purposes only. Horse Betting is not legal in every state so if you are betting, make sure it is legal

The 2026 Virginia Derby at Colonial Downs is one of the most interesting races on the road to the Kentucky Derby.

This year’s 2026 Virginia Derby is run at 1 1/8 miles on the dirt, but unlike most races at this distance, the unique track layout at Colonial Downs makes it a one-turn mile and an eighth. Colonial Downs features a 1¼-mile oval, which means the Virginia Derby begins on a long straight run before the field reaches the first and only turn. Because of this race architecture, the Virginia Derby often favors tactical horses with speed that can sustain throughout the race, rather than deep closers who rely on a pace collapse. In this video, I evaluate the 2026 Virginia Derby contenders, the race architecture, and which horses best fit this unique one-turn configuration.

2026 Virginia Derby Race Overview Race:

2026 Virginia Derby Track: Colonial Downs

Distance: 1 1/8 miles (one turn)

Surface: Dirt

Division: 3-year-olds

50 Kentucky Derby points

2026 Virginia Derby Contender Analysis

1. Buetane (Bob Baffert) One of the fastest horses in the field. Tactical pace and strong workouts make him a major win contender in this one-turn configuration.

2. Grittiness (Todd Pletcher) Has experience at the mile-and-an-eighth distance but the speed figures have been light. Needs a significant jump forward to compete in the Virginia Derby.

3. Epic Desire (Todd Pletcher) Shows a tactical running style that could fit the Colonial Downs track, but light speed figures and repeated “no kick” race notes raise concerns.

4. Work (Doug O'Neill) Ships in from California but has struggled to post competitive speed figures. Late-race weakening makes him difficult to support in the 2026 Virginia Derby.

5. High Camp (William Walden) Improving speed figures and a determined stretch run make High Camp one of the most interesting contenders in the Virginia Derby. Tactical speed fits the race architecture well.

6. Lockstocknpharoah (Thomas Drury, Jr) Undefeated in two starts with sustained energy throughout the race. Synthetic form at Turfway Park could translate well to the dirt at Colonial Downs in the 2026 Virginia Derby.

7. Incredibolt (Riley Mott) Talented runner who struggled in the Holy Bull Stakes. If he rebounds to earlier form, he could become a wildcard threat in this race.

8. Confessional (Brad Cox) Strong early career races and a stalking running style make Confessional an excellent fit for the Virginia Derby setup. Blinkers return for this race.

9. Ocelli (D. Whitworth Beckman) Still searching for his first win but has shown tactical speed and competitive efforts. Could be a board threat with the right trip.

10. Clocker Special (Rodolphe Brisset) Consistent board hitter but faces a significant class jump in the 2026 Virginia Derby and would need a major step forward.

This video is for informational and educational purposes only. All opinions are my own and not intended as betting advice. Please wager responsibly. Tips are for informational purposes only. Horse betting is not legal in every state so if you are betting, make sure it is legal.

2026 Tampa Bay Derby Preview — Who is best suited for the demanding surface at Tampa Bay Downs?

The 2026 Tampa Bay Derby takes place on March 7th at Tampa Bay Downs, offering 50 Kentucky Derby qualifying points to the winner. In this full Tampa Bay Derby 2026 preview, I evaluate the race architecture, the unique surface, and analyze every contender running 1 and 1/16 miles on one of the most stamina-demanding tracks on the Derby trail.

The 2026 Tampa Bay Derby is not just about speed — it’s about positioning and stamina. And the defining variable in the Tampa Bay Derby is the surface. Tampa Bay Downs’ dirt has often been described as deeper and more “beach-like” than other tracks. It demands stamina and conditioning. Speed horses without endurance can fade late. Closers without sustained stamina won’t finish strongly enough to catch leaders. This surface exposes fitness.

Key angles in the 2026 Tampa Bay Derby:

- Tactical positioning near the lead by the far turn

- Proven stamina at 1 1/16 miles or longer

- Tampa Bay Downs experience

- Jockey familiarity with the surface

🏇 Tampa Bay Derby 2026 Horse-by-Horse Analysis

1. Redland Rebels - Trainer Patrick Biancone Forwardly placed turf runner with proven stamina at the distance. If his sustained effort translates to Tampa’s deeper surface, he could be a live wildcard in the 2026 Tampa Bay Derby.

2. Talkin - Trainer Danny Gargan Showed graded-stakes class at two but must prove he can sustain his run over Tampa’s demanding surface. Talent is clear, but tactical positioning concerns.

3. Roger That Dana - Trainer Luis Ramirez Consistent against quality company but lacks the speed figures and stamina profile to win the Tampa Bay Derby 2026 at this level.

4. Hulkamania - Trainer D. Whitworth Beckman Already a winner at Tampa Bay Downs and fits the stalking profile that succeeds in this race. Pedigree suggests distance potential.

5. Powershift - Trainer Todd Pletcher, has won this race 6 times So many pros: Tampa Bay experience, strong speed rating, tactical positioning, and a stamina pedigree make him a major threat here in the Tampa Bay Derby.

6. Further Ado - Trainer Brad Cox Brilliant maiden winner with elite upside but must rebound from a speed figure regression. If he returns to peak form, he may be a serious win candidate.

7. Thunder Buck - Trainer Brendan Walsh Flashed ability at the distance but retreated in his last race. Gets the leading jockey and pedigree is quality.

8. The Puma - Trainer Gustavo Delgado Tapit influence, Tampa Bay experience, and the right tactical running style. Needs improvement in speed figures but fits the surface angle well.

9. Canaletto - Trainer Chad Brown Impressive debut winner stepping into tougher company. Stamina and class questions remain, but training over deeper surfaces gives him intrigue. T

he 2026 Tampa Bay Derby is a pivotal Kentucky Derby prep race on the Road to the Derby. With 50 points awarded to the winner, this race will shape the Derby trail.

2026 Rebel Stakes preview — who controls the speed and earns 50 Kentucky Derby points at Oaklawn Park?

The 2026 Rebel Stakes is one of the most important early stops on the Road to the Kentucky Derby, awarding 50 Kentucky Derby points to the winner in this Grade 2 prep at Oaklawn Park in Arkansas. Run at 1 1/16 miles, the Rebel Stakes often reveals legitimate Kentucky Derby contenders — and this year’s projected fast pace could dramatically shape the outcome.

With multiple forwardly placed runners signed on and a proven closer waiting to strike, this 2026 Rebel Stakes preview breaks down the race architecture, pace scenario, track dynamics at Oaklawn Park, and how it all impacts the Kentucky Derby picture.

🏇 2026 Rebel Stakes Field Breakdown

1. Bravaro. Trained by Saffie Joseph Jr, this horse is scratched and will be in the Fountain of Youth Stakes instead.

2. Litmus Test. The Bob Baffert trainee brings elite class and two Beyer Speed Figures in the high 90s, including at this distance in the Los Alamitos Futurity. With Grade 1 experience and tactical speed, he profiles as a major win contender in the 2026 Rebel Stakes and a serious Kentucky Derby threat.

3. Class President.Trained by Todd Pletcher. In the exacta in two starts, including a strong maiden win at Gulfstream, he stretches out to two turns for the first time. By Uncle Mo with Quality Road influence underneath, he has pedigree for distance but must improve his late pace figures to contend at this level.

4. Blackout Time. The morning line favorite makes his three-year-old debut for Kenny McPeek after a strong two-year-old campaign that included a high Beyer speed figure in the Grade 1 Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity. With a bullet workout signaling readiness, he enters the 2026 Rebel Stakes as a top-tier Kentucky Derby hopeful.

5. Honey’s to Blame. Trained by Kenny McPeek. Knows Oaklawn Park, including a win at this distance, he clearly handles the surface. However, his speed figures remain well below the top contenders, making this a major class test in the Rebel Stakes.

6. Strategic Risk. Trained by Mark Casse. Brilliant in the Smarty Jones at Oaklawn before a troubled trip in the Southwest Stakes, his form is difficult to assess. If you draw a line through the Southwest effort, he potentially becomes a live rebound candidate with proven distance success.

7. Silent Tactic. Trained by Mark Casse, Winner of the Southwest Stakes with a powerful closing move, he thrives in fast-paced setups and benefits from Oaklawn’s stretch configuration. If the projected speed duel materializes, he could once again capitalize and boost his Kentucky Derby résumé.

8. Rancho Santa Fe. The Brad Cox trainee has steadily improved since arriving at Oaklawn Park, finishing closer to the leaders in the Southwest Stakes. By Tapit, added distance may ultimately suit him better, but he remains an intriguing developmental prospect.

9. Time for Music. Trained by Steve Asmussen, he has shown an ability to close into hot paces but lacks the speed figures of the top contenders. If the early fractions heat up significantly in this 1 1/16 mile Rebel Stakes, he could factor underneath.

10. Soldier and Diplomat. Another from the Asmussen barn, he improved in the Southwest Stakes despite racing wide from an outside post. With tactical speed and potential second-off-the-layoff improvement, he enters the 2026 Rebel Stakes as a legitimate threat.

The 2026 Rebel Stakes at Oaklawn Park is more than just another prep — it’s a pivotal Kentucky Derby points race that often produces serious contenders for Churchill Downs. Who do you think masters the speed in this year’s Rebel Stakes?

Who prevails in the 2026 Fountain of Youth Stakes — and who takes a major step toward the Kentucky Derby?

The 2026 Fountain of Youth Stakes at Gulfstream Park is one of the most important early-season Derby prep races on the Road to the Kentucky Derby. With 50 Kentucky Derby qualifying points awarded to the winner, this race can define careers and reshape the Derby leaderboard.

Race Details: Gulfstream Park, Saturday Feb 28th, 1 and 1/16th on the dirt

This year’s Fountain of Youth features a loaded field of 3-year-olds with early speed, proven class, and rising potential. The projected pace is fast, the stretch at Gulfstream is short, and post position could play a major role in the outcome.

Let’s evaluate every contender in the 2026 Fountain of Youth Stakes.

🐎 Horse-by-Horse Analysis:

Jackson Hole Trainer: Todd Pletcher Undefeated in two starts and coming off a dominant gate-to-wire win, he has early speed and proven ability at the distance. The question is whether his speed figures and class foundation stack up in deeper company.

Rockies Balboa Trainer: Dale Romans Two impressive wins at Gulfstream, but both came against softer company. He’ll need a significant leap forward in both class and stamina to contend here.

Talkin Trainer: Danny Gargan Runner-up in the Grade 1 Champagne as a two-year-old, he has back class and pedigree to stretch out. This 3-year-old debut will tell us whether he’s ready to take the next step toward the Kentucky Derby.

Commandment Trainer: Brad Cox Winner of the Mucho Macho Man Stakes at Gulfstream with a strong speed figure, he brings tactical versatility and elite connections.

Bravaro Trainer: Saffie Joseph Jr. Second in the Holy Bull at this distance, he has already proven himself over the track.

Chief Wallaby Trainer: Bill Mott Professional maiden winner at Gulfstream with a strong pedigree for routing. Lightly raced but highly intriguing as he steps into graded stakes company.

Napoleon Solo Trainer: Chad Summers Dominant winner of the Grade 1 Champagne with the top speed figure in the field. The layoff is the question — but his raw talent makes him dangerous.

Bull by the Horns Trainer: Saffie Joseph, Jr. Facing both a class and distance jump. Needs major improvement to threaten in this Kentucky Derby prep.

Global Aviator Trainer: Rohan Crichton Possesses strong late pace and could benefit from a fast early tempo. Needs to rebound from a subpar effort in the Holy Bull.

Solitude Dude Trainer: Saffie Joseph, Jr. Undefeated and coming off a big performance in the Swale Stakes. The key question is whether he can carry his speed around two turns.

Lost Money Trainer: Juan Arias Still a maiden and facing a steep climb in class, speed, and post position.

The 2026 Fountain of Youth Stakes isn’t just another prep — it’s a defining Derby test. With pace pressure, positional challenges, and 50 Kentucky Derby points on the line, this race could dramatically impact the Road to the Kentucky Derby.

2026 RISEN STAR PREVIEW The road to the 2026 Kentucky Derby takes a major turn this Saturday at Fair Grounds. With 50 Kentucky Derby points to the winner, only eight runners, and 1 1/8 miles on the dirt, this race could reshape the Derby picture in a big way.

Here are the contenders:

PP1. Universe 🐎 Trainer: Kenny McPeek Jockey: Christopher Elliott Consistent and honest with five starts and four board finishes, but hasn’t won since October and regressed to a low speed figure last out in the Smarty Jones. Blinkers go on. The big question is, can he get the distance?

PP2. Golden Tempo 🐎 Trainer: Cherie DeVaux Jockey: Jose Ortiz Two starts, two wins, including the G3 Lecomte here at Fair Grounds. Curlin on top, Bernardini underneath screams distance. The concern? Pace setup. If things get moderate early, his closing kick may come too late. Major talent

PP3. Carson Street 🐎 Trainer: Brendan Walsh Jockey: Ben Curtis Always on the board and proven locally. Tactical and likely forwardly placed again. Pedigree says stamina may be there. If he controls things, he’s dangerous — but if pressured early, he may flatten late.

PP4. Paladin 🐎 Trainer: Chad Brown Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione This horse has it all. Two-for-two including the G2 Remsen at this same 1 1/8-mile distance with highest speed figure in the race. Tactical speed in a race lacking pace, proven stamina, elite connections. He checks every box and looks like the one to beat.

PP5. Chip Honcho 🐎 Trainer: Steve Asmussen Jockey: Luis Saez Won the Gun Runner here with a competitive speed figure and had a wide trip in the Lecomte. Blinkers come off and better positioning is likely. Tactical and fits the pace scenario, but nine furlongs remains the question.

PP6. Colt Forty Seven 🐎 Trainer: Keith Desormeaux Jockey: James Graham Most experienced horse in the field but stepping up sharply in class. Improved each race but needs another jump forward. Notice he is also a closer.

PP7. Courting 🐎 Trainer: Todd Pletcher Jockey: John Velazquez $5 million Curlin colt with a powerhouse pedigree. Fourth in the Remsen behind Paladin and gets blinkers on for his three-year-old debut. Hasn’t yet run a breakout race, but the bloodlines suggest improvement is coming. Dangerous if he takes the expected step forward.

PP8. Quality Mischief 🐎 Trainer: Brad Cox Jockey: Florent Geroux Has faced several of these and hasn’t beaten them yet. Best speed figure makes him competitive but not superior. A closer who needs pace help — possible late runner if things heat up.

📍 Race Details • 1 1/8 miles on dirt • Fair Grounds Race Course • Saturday, February 14 • 50 Derby points to the winner

🔥 Final Thoughts: With 50 Derby points on the line, tactical speed and proven stamina may rule the day. 👇 Who do YOU like in the Risen Star? Drop your top pick in the comments and let’s talk Kentucky Derby And if you enjoy Kentucky Derby prep coverage, make sure to like, subscribe, and turn on notifications so you don’t miss the next preview on the Road to Churchill Downs. 🏇

🏇 2026 Withers Stakes: Who’s Really Built for the Distance? Seven horses. One mile and one-eighth. 20 Kentucky Derby points on the line. In the 2026 Withers Stakes, which runners can actually stay the distance — and which ones are about to be exposed?

📍 Race Basics Race: 2026 Withers Stakes Where: Aqueduct Racetrack When: Friday, February 6 Surface: Dirt Distance: 1 ⅛ miles Kentucky Derby Points: 20 to the winner

This is one of the longest Derby prep races we’ve seen so far, and with a projected fast pace, stamina, trip, and pedigree all matter.

🐎 Horse-by-Horse:

1. Grittiness (Trainer: Todd Pletcher) Grittiness lives up to his name — he keeps grinding and has already tried this distance, but he’s still a maiden who needs another jump forward to turn effort into a win.

2. Schoolyardsuperman (Trainer: Chad Brown) Schoolyardsuperman has looked like the strongest kid on the playground at Aqueduct so far, but now Chad Brown asks him the big question: can that speed carry two turns and a longer distance?

3. Ottinho (Trainer: Chad Brown) Ottinho might sound quiet, but don’t overlook him — he’s the half-brother to Hall of Famer Gun Runner and showed real heart when winning a duel at this exact distance.

4. Star Sweeper (Trainer: Louis Linder) Star Sweeper has been cleaning up sprint races, but this jump in distance and class might be asking him to sweep far more than he’s shown so far.

5. Mailata (Trainer: Robert Reid) Mailata has been delivering wins at Parx like clockwork, and Robert Reid believes the farther he goes the better he gets — but this is a serious step up in competition.

6. Talk to Me Jimmy (Trainer: Rudy Rodriguez) Talk to Me Jimmy finally spoke loud and clear last time when wiring the field, but now he has to prove that voice still carries when the distance stretches out.

7. Fourth and One (Trainer: Jeremiah Englehart) Fourth and One is always in the game and always shows up, but against tougher open company, consistency alone may not be enough to score the win.

🎯 Why This Race Matters The Withers Stakes is a true stamina test on the Kentucky Derby trail. This mile-and-an-eighth distance at Aqueduct can separate real Derby prospects from horses who are just fast early.

👍 CTA If this analysis helped you: Hit the like button Subscribe for more Kentucky Derby prep coverage And share this video with 3 friends who love horse racing and handicapping Drop your pick in the comments — who do you think can actually stay the distance?

🏇 Who’s REALLY Derby-Ready? The Southwest Stakes Decides. The Grade 3 Southwest Stakes at Oaklawn Park is one of the most important early stops on the Kentucky Derby trail, awarding 20 Derby points to the winner. With a deep 14-horse field, proven class, raw speed, and big question marks, this race is all about who’s ready to take the next step.

📍 Race: G3 Southwest Stakes

📅 Date: NEW!!! February 6th - delayed due to weather 🏟️

Track: Oaklawn Park

📏 Distance: 1 1/16 miles (dirt)

🏆 Derby Points: 20 to the winner

In this video, I go horse by horse, evaluating down form, speed figures, pedigree, trainers, jockeys, and — most importantly — the story each horse brings into the race.

🐎 HORSE-BY-HORSE Analysis:

1️⃣ Reclamation (Trainer: Christopher Davis) Reclamation has early speed and upside with only two starts, but the question is whether there’s anything left to reclaim when the distance stretches out.

2️⃣ D’Code (Trainer: Ray Ashford) D’Code cracked the speed code with a massive debut, but now he has to prove that brilliance translates beyond a sprint.

3️⃣ Buetane (Trainer: Bob Baffert) Buetane brings serious jet fuel and top-class experience; if he gets into the gate, he’s fast enough to make a big impact.

4️⃣ Rancho Santa Fe (Trainer: Brad Cox) Rancho Santa Fe is all about redemption after a tough trip last time, and with this barn, improvement is always possible.

5️⃣ Litmus Test (Trainer: Bob Baffert) Litmus Test is the measuring stick — proven at the distance and in graded company, he’s the horse everyone must prove they can beat.

6️⃣ Circle Tap (Trainer: Dallas Stewart) Circle Tap has already tapped the distance, but the speed figures suggest he’ll need a major jump forward to stay competitive.

7️⃣ Liberty National (Trainer: Kenny McPeek) Liberty National is quietly improving and could find freedom late if the pace gets hot up front.

8️⃣ Spirit of Royal (Trainer: Dallas Stewart) Spirit of Royal showed heart breaking his maiden, but now he faces a much tougher kingdom to rule.

9️⃣ Strategic Risk (Trainer: Mark Casse) Strategic Risk looks like a gamble that keeps paying off, entering this race sharper and more confident than ever.

🔟 Bricklin (Trainer: Rodolphe Brisset) Bricklin built momentum last time with a big win at Oaklawn, but now must prove that performance wasn’t a one-time spark.

1️⃣1️⃣ Silent Tactic (Trainer: Mark Casse) Silent Tactic doesn’t announce himself early, but his late run and consistency make him a dangerous closer in this field.

1️⃣2️⃣ Baytown Dreamer (Trainer: Paul McEntee) Baytown Dreamer outran expectations last time, but dreaming bigger against this group may be a tall order.

1️⃣3️⃣ Soldier N Diplomat (Trainer: Steve Asmussen) Soldier N Diplomat has already fought tough battles against top company and could be ready for a major promotion.

1️⃣4️⃣ Sleepingonfreedom (Trainer: Kenny McPeek) Sleepingonfreedom has had things his own way before, but from the outside post, freedom may be harder to find.

📣 FINAL THOUGHTS This Southwest Stakes is a true Derby litmus test — a fair track, a demanding distance, and no excuses. Some horses will confirm the hype. Others will be exposed.

🔥 Holy Bull Stakes 2026 Preview – Horse by Horse Analysis | Kentucky Derby Prep (20 Points on the Line!) The Road to the Kentucky Derby heats up THIS Saturday at Gulfstream Park.

Join me as I evaluate all 7 starters in the Grade 3 Holy Bull Stakes 2026, going 1 1/16 miles on dirt at Gulfstream Park on Saturday, January 31, with a massive 20 Kentucky Derby points awarded to the winner.

This is one of the most important early Derby preps of the season — loaded with improving 3-year-olds, big-name trainers, and rising stars trying to stamp their ticket to Churchill Downs.

Let’s go horse by horse in this Holy Bull Stakes preview:

🐎 Incredibolt (Trainer: Riley Mott)Can this Bolt strike again? Already a Grade 3 winner with Derby points in hand, Incredibolt is improving every start — but must stay closer early on Gulfstream’s speed-favoring track.

🐎 Roger That Dana (Trainer: Luis Ramirez)Roger that — experience matters. With all three starts at Gulfstream, this colt showed late life last out, but needs a pace upgrade to contend on top.

🐎 Project Ace (Trainer: Dale Romans)Project Ace tries to ace a tough assignment. A proven distance runner, but as a closer with light speed figures, he’ll need a big jump forward.

🐎 Global Aviator (Trainer: Rohan Crichton)Ready for takeoff? This flashy debut winner flew home wide at Gulfstream, but now faces two turns for the first time in a major class test.

🐎 Cannoneer (Trainer: Brad Cox)Like a cannonball, this $1.75M Into Mischief colt crushed his maiden with a 90 Beyer and figures to send hard early under Irad Ortiz, Jr — a serious win threat.

🐎 Nearly (Trainer: Todd Pletcher)Nearly perfect so far. Two dominant Gulfstream wins and a field-best 97 Beyer make this improving colt a major player stretching out for Johnny Velazquez.

🐎 Bravaro (Trainer: Saffie Joseph Jr.)How brave is Bravaro? The undefeated New York-bred ships south after winning the Sleepy Hollow and looks like a solid underneath contender.

🏁 Race Info:

📍 Gulfstream Park

📅 Saturday, January 31, 2026

🏇 Grade 3 Holy Bull Stakes

📏 1 1/16 miles (dirt)

🏆 20 Kentucky Derby points to the winner

The 2026 Lecomte Stakes goes Saturday, January 17 at the Fair Grounds Race Course, run at 1 1/16 miles on dirt, and awards 20 Kentucky Derby points to the winner — double what we’ve seen so far on the Derby trail.

The Lecomte Stakes features 11 talented 3-year-olds, a projected fast early pace, and a long Fair Grounds stretch that could favor a late runner. In this video, I evaluate every horse in the field, analyzing form, speed figures, pace setup, and Derby potential.

1. Quality Mischief (Trainer: Brad Cox) By Into Mischief and trained by last year’s Lecomte-winning conditioner, this colt is still figuring things out — but if he lives up to his name, he could cause some trouble late.

2. Carson Street (Trainer: Brendan Walsh) As reliable as the street signs he’s named after, Carson Street always shows up. He’s consistent, honest, and may be a prime candidate to hit the board again.

3. Crown the Buckeye (Trainer: Mike Maker) When this horse gets the crown, he takes it aggressively. A proven speed horse with the best Beyer at the distance — but can he rule the pace without burning out?

4. Exosome (Trainer: Kelsey Danner) Still evolving, much like the DNA he’s named after. He’ll need to step forward to threaten this deeper field.

5. Golden Tempo (Trainer: Cherie DeVaux) Perfect name for a horse with a powerful finishing kick. Lightly raced, beautifully bred, and full of upside — the tempo might turn golden.

6. Thunder Buck (Trainer: Brad Cox) Built for distance and named like a powerhouse, this colt brings thunder late. If the pace collapses, expect him to charge home like a freight train.

7. Mesquite (Trainer: Cherie DeVaux) Dangerous with a late kick, One of the strongest closers in the field with a serious late punch.

8. White Tiger (Trainer: Brad Cox) Fast, athletic, and still learning how fierce he really is. If this Tiger takes another step forward, the rest may be chasing stripes.

9. Ocelli (Trainer: Whit Beckman) Still a maiden, but don’t let that fool you — this colt has been finishing like a professional. With blinkers on, his vision might finally match his ambition.

10. Stop the Car (Trainer: Brendan Walsh) Undefeated and saying “don’t stop believing.” The question isn’t talent — it’s whether traffic and pace force him to hit the brakes.

11. Chip Honcho (Trainer: Steve Asmussen) The boss of the Gun Runner Stakes returns. Cool, professional, and battle-tested — the Honcho is the one everyone has to beat.

🏁 Final Thoughts With 20 Kentucky Derby points on the line, this Lecomte could reshape the early Derby picture. Whether speed holds or closers come flying, this is a race you don’t want to miss.

The 2026 Smarty Jones Stakes takes place on Saturday, January 3rd, 2026, at Oaklawn Park and serves as a key early stop on the Road to the Kentucky Derby.

Run at 1 1/16 miles on the dirt, the $250,000 Smarty Jones Stakes features 9 three-year-old contenders competing for 10 Kentucky Derby qualifying points to the winner.

This is the first of four Derby prep races at Oaklawn Park and often introduces horses who will shape the rest of the 2026 Kentucky Derby trail.

In this video, I evaluate the 2026 Smarty Jones Stakes horse by horse, telling the story behind each contender’s past performances, pedigree, trainer, and Derby potential — focusing on context, not just speed figures.

🐎 2026 SMARTY JONES STAKES CONTENDERS

1. Universe (Trainer: Kenny McPeek) A proven graded-stakes performer who has never missed the board and has already finished second twice at this distance. Universe brings class, stamina, and top-level experience into the 2026 Smarty Jones Stakes.

2. Baytown Dreamer (Trainer: Paul McEntee) The most experienced horse in the field with eight starts, Baytown Dreamer returns to dirt after several turf attempts. He looks to rediscover form while stepping into a deeper field at Oaklawn Park.

3. Boca Beach Club (Trainer: James DiVito) Lightly raced but extremely fast, Boca Beach Club owns the highest speed figure among the 2026 Smarty Jones Stakes entrants. With prior Oaklawn experience, the question is whether his sprint speed will carry two turns.

4. Silent Tactic (Trainer: Mark Casse) Already proven at the Smarty Jones distance on Woodbine’s synthetic surface, Silent Tactic now transitions to dirt. He must answer whether his tactical style translates to Oaklawn Park’s speed-favoring track.

5. Rancho Santa Fe (Trainer: Brad Cox) Undefeated in two starts and improving with every race, Rancho Santa Fe is by Tapit and trained by Brad Cox. His professionalism and upward trajectory make him a serious 2026 Smarty Jones Stakes contender.

6. Oscar’s Hope (Trainer: Tom Amoss) Always in the exacta and consistently fast, Oscar’s Hope brings strong speed figures into Oaklawn Park. He now stretches out to 1 1/16 miles while carrying the highest weight in the field.

7. Strategic Risk (Trainer: Mark Casse) Coming off a dominant confidence-boosting win, Strategic Risk returns to open company for the 2026 Smarty Jones Stakes. His pedigree suggests stamina, but this race will determine if he belongs at this level.

8. Scar Ship (Trainer: Ricky Courville) A Louisiana-bred stepping into open company, Scar Ship stretches out in distance and adds blinkers for the first time. He has shown heart and speed but faces multiple new challenges at once.

9. Sleeping on Freedom (Trainer: Kenny McPeek) A consistent winner who has already handled the distance, Sleeping on Freedom draws the outside post in the 2026 Smarty Jones Stakes. He adds intrigue as the second McPeek-trained entrant in the field.

🏁 FINAL WORD The 2026 Smarty Jones Stakes at Oaklawn Park offers an early look at the next wave of Kentucky Derby contenders. Nine horses. Ten Derby points. One opportunity to take a major step forward on the Derby trail.

2025 Gun Runner Stakes Preview | Fair Grounds | Dec 20

The 2025 Gun Runner Stakes takes place on December 20 at the Fair Grounds in New Orleans, featuring eight promising 2-year-olds going 1 1/16 miles with 10 Kentucky Derby points on the line. This is a wide-open Derby prep — no clear favorite, evenly matched contenders, and a race where owners dream of moving forward on the Road to the Kentucky Derby.

👍 If you enjoy smart, story-driven race previews, like this video and subscribe for more coverage all Derby season long.

🏇 2025 Gun Runner Stakes – Runner Snapshots

1. Mesquite – Trainer: Cherie DeVaux A deep closer with the best late pace in the field, Mesquite has already won at this distance and benefits from the Fair Grounds’ long stretch — but he’ll need enough early speed to set it up.

2. Chip Honcho – Trainer: Steve Asmussen Speed is his weapon. Blinkers go on for the first time as Paco Lopez, the Fair Grounds’ leading rider, looks to stretch his sharp early foot another sixteenth of a mile.

3. Liberty National – Trainer: Kenny McPeek A major second-out improver, Liberty National brings a strong Churchill Downs win, a strong speed rating, and a pedigree built for two turns — a legitimate breakout candidate.

4. Quality Mischief – Trainer: Brad Cox The pedigree is elite, but the performances haven’t matched it yet. He’ll need significant improvement to contend.

5. Crown the Buckeye – Trainer: Mike Maker The most accomplished winner in the field with two wins and a strong speed rating, Crown the Buckeye should be forwardly placed in a race that lacks early speed.

6. Arabia Wild – Trainer: Brad Cox By Gun Runner himself, Arabia Wild has won at this distance at Fair Grounds, but must take a major step forward against much tougher company.

7. Very Connected – Trainer: Kenny McPeek The most experienced runner, Very Connected has faced graded-stakes competition and proven the distance, bringing class and toughness to this spot.

8. Mister Punch – Trainer: Brad Cox A strong maiden winner at this distance, Mister Punch showed a smart stalking trip and real fight when challenged — a profile that fits this race well. 🏁 Final Thoughts The 2025 Gun Runner Stakes at Fair Grounds is exactly what a Derby prep should be: competitive, unpredictable, and full of opportunity.

👇 Who do you think moves on from the Gun Runner Stakes? Drop your pick in the comments. 👍 Don’t forget to like, subscribe, and turn on notifications for more Road to the Kentucky Derby previews.

The 2025 Los Alamitos Futurity is here, and one of these six rising stars could punch their ticket toward the Kentucky Derby trail. This year’s Los Alamitos Futurity is run at 1 1/16 miles on the dirt at Los Alamitos Race Course on Saturday, December 13, 2025, with 10 Kentucky Derby points going to the winner.

If you’re searching for a 2025 Los Alamitos Futurity preview, race analysis, or early Derby hopefuls, this analysis has everything you need. This video evaluates all six contenders with full insights into pedigrees, past performances, and trainer advantages — essential for anyone following the 2025 Kentucky Derby prep races.

🐎 2025 LOS ALAMITOS FUTURITY — HORSE-BY-HORSE PREVIEW

Post 1 — Acknowlegemeplz (Trainer: Doug O’Neill) Elite early speed, two sharp Beyers, and a love for the rail. This horse has one message for the field: Acknowledge me, please. But can sprint brilliance stretch to two turns?

Post 2 — Provenance (Trainer: Bob Baffert) By Into Mischief and out of Monomoy Girl — this colt has a pedigree made in heaven. With Baffert guiding him, Provenance looks ready to live up to his origin story.

Post 3 — Litmus Test (Trainer: Bob Baffert) Four starts, multiple Grade 1 runs, and the only horse proven at this 1 1/16-mile distance. As his name suggests, he’s the true test for everyone else.

Post 4 — Blacksmith (Trainer: Bob Baffert) Still a maiden, but firing bullet workouts and built for classic distances. The question is whether he’s ready to forge a breakthrough on Futurity day.

Post 5 — American King (Trainer: Ruben Gomez) American Pharoah × Bernardini gives him royalty in his blood, but he’s still searching for the crown. Will this be the race where the King earns his throne?

Post 6 — Captivator (Trainer: John Sadler) Speedy, improving, and coming off a 10-length victory. With the right trip, this colt could captivate the field — but the added distance is the true test.

⭐ WHAT YOU’LL GET IN THIS PREVIEW ✔ Full 2025 Los Alamitos Futurity analysis ✔ Handicapping breakdown for all six contenders ✔ Trainer insights ✔ Pedigree insights for Derby-distance potential This is an important early stop on the Kentucky Derby trail, and these two-year-olds are ready to make a statement.

Your complete guide for the 2025 Remsen Stakes. This analysis covers the full field for Aqueduct’s 1 1/8-mile Derby prep where 2-year-olds battle for 10 Kentucky Derby points. Get a horse-by-horse analysis, pedigrees, pace setup, and more for the contenders on the 2026 Kentucky Derby trail. In this video, I evaluate every horse in the 2025 Remsen Stakes field, their trainers, strengths, risks, and the storylines that make this year’s Remsen so compelling.

🐎 2025 Remsen Stakes Field & Horse-by-Horse Preview

#1 Day One Starter — Trainer: Claude McGaughey Pedigree? Check. Aqueduct experience? Check. Speed rating? Also check. But after weakening and regressing last time out, Day One Starter will need to live up to his name — and start fresh — if he wants to be in the Derby conversation.

#2 Paladin — Trainer: Chad Brown His pedigree screams Kentucky Derby, and he’s already proven his talent with a strong Aqueduct win. Paladin enters like the knight of this field, but the question is: will he defend his rising reputation at 1 1/8 miles?

#3 I Did I Did — Trainer: Mike Maker A gritty runner with heart, but stretching out to this demanding distance is the real test. Will “I Did I Did” become “I Can I Can”… or is the extra ground a bridge too far?

#4 Grittiness — Trainer: Todd Pletcher He’s still a maiden, but don’t count him out — this is the kind of spot where true “grittiness” gets tested. With blinkers added, he might finally dig in and show the fight his name suggests.

#5 Chambersville — Trainer: Kenny McPeek The only horse in the field who has run this 1 1/8-mile distance — but it happened on the turf. Chambersville gets the mileage badge, but now must prove he can translate travel experience into dirt success.

#6 Courting — Trainer: Todd Pletcher Purchased for $5 million, Courting arrives with expectations taller than the Aqueduct grandstand. The talent is there — but he must improve his speed figures to court Derby attention.

#7 Igniter — Trainer: Richard Dutrow Jr. Igniter brings the fire early with serious speed, but the question is whether that flame holds or flickers in the final furlong. Can he ignite a Derby dream, or will the distance cool him off late?

#8 Concarneau — Trainer: Marya Montoya A trier with heart, but too light on speed to match this group. Concarneau will need a career-best performance to stay competitive. For now, this one looks like a pass.

#9 Renegade — Trainer: Todd Pletcher Renegade brings late punch, pedigree, speed, and valuable Aqueduct experience — fitting for a horse who likes to write his own rules in the stretch. From post 9, he’ll need a smart trip, but his finish makes him dangerous.

#10 Balboa — Trainer: Brittany Russell The classiest horse in the field, but his best speed has come at shorter distances. Balboa is the seasoned fighter stepping up in rounds — the question is whether he hits as hard going longer.

#11 Talkin — Trainer: Danny Gargan Aqueduct experience? Yes. High speed ratings? Yes. A G1 runner-up and a win over Further Ado? Yes. Distance pedigree + one of the strongest late kicks if the pace heats up? Absolutely. Talkin is a top contender… but starting this far outside means he’ll have to overcome extra ground to make the conversation go his way.

#12 Probably Dreaming — Trainer: Gary Capuano Three straight wins, a prior Aqueduct placement, and a pedigree by Improbable that suggests he can get the distance. But he’s light on speed figures and must overcome the outermost post. If he keeps dreaming big, he’ll need to take the long way home.

This year’s Remsen Stakes is a true stamina exam for young talent — and a pivotal early stop on the 2026 Road to the Kentucky Derby.

Tips are for Informational purposes only Horse Betting is not legal in every state so if you are betting make sure it is legal.

The turkey leftovers aren’t even gone yet, but the road to the Kentucky Derby waits for no one. The Saturday after Thanksgiving brings us the 2025 Kentucky Jockey Club (G2) at Churchill Downs — a 1 1/16-mile, 10-point Derby prep where seven rising stars look to turn holiday weekend energy into early Derby momentum. This race matters. It launches prospects, exposes pretenders, and shapes the first true pecking order of the 2-year-olds heading into winter. Here are the contender

🐎 1. Spice Runner — Steve Asmussen If you like your Derby trail with a little kick, Spice Runner has you covered. He’s proven he loves Churchill, packs a sharp late punch, and has the benefit of Asmussen — a three-time winner of this very race — adding just the right seasoning.

🐎2. Cherokee Nation — Bob Baffert Not a lot of starts, but brings grit, two-turn experience, and a pedigree that screams this distance. Add Baffert and Prat to the mix, and you’ve got a runner who could surprise the whole nation.

🐎 3. Dr. Kapur — Saffie Joseph Jr. This horse brings speed and a meaningful story — named after the doctor who gave owner Ken Ramsey a life-saving kidney transplant. Dr. Kapur is a sprint specialist, but now he must prove he can write the prescription for 1 1/16 miles.

🐎 4. Soldier N Diplomat — Steve Asmussen Part soldier, part statesman. He’ll stretch out for the first time, face tougher foes, and need to level up his speed. But he has a Churchill win and victories over serious names like Further Ado.

🐎 5. Very Connected — Kenny McPeek If this race turns into a late-running frenzy, Very Connected is plugged in and ready. Proven at the distance, proven at Churchill, and the strongest late pace in the field — he keeps improving with every start. If the early fractions get hot, he might just make the right connections at the wire.

🐎 6. Further Ado — Brad Cox Without Further Ado, let’s get to the buzz horse. He demolished his last field by 20 lengths at this very distance — earning a speed figure nearly identical to Ted Noffey. If he repeats that effort, everyone else may just be running for second.

🐎 7. Universe — Kenny McPeek This one has the whole Universe ahead of him — and maybe this race within his grasp. Perfect stalking style and proven at the distance in the Street Sense. He’ll need a speed boost if Further Ado shows up with maximum firepower, but make no mistake: this is a talented 2-year-old with sky-high potential.

#kentuckyjockeyclub #horseracing #kentuckyderby #kentuckyderbycontenders

🔎 2025 Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity Preview

🏇 | Kentucky Derby Contenders & Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Implications 🔥 Seven 2-year-olds. One ticket to the Kentucky Derby dream. The Grade 1 Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity at Keeneland isn’t just another stakes race — it’s where future stars are made. With Derby points on the line and a Breeders’ Cup Juvenile berth up for grabs, this field is loaded with speed, pedigree, and potential. Who’s ready to break out, and who’s just along for the ride?

In this video, I preview all seven contenders ready to take their shot at Derby glory. I break down their chances, running styles, and pedigrees — and show you which of these 2-year-olds has superstar written all over them.

🐎 Meet the Field – 2025 Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity

1️⃣ Blackout Time (Kenny McPeek) – A colt who’s already proven he can stretch out. He likes to do his best work up front — but will the jump in class flip the switch or short-circuit his run?

2️⃣ Big Dom (Thomas Amoss) – Heart, hustle, and pedigree. He showed plenty of fight in his debut, but can “Big Dom Energy” carry him the extra distance?

3️⃣ Disciassette (Patrick Biancone) – Patient and poised, this one waits for the right moment to strike. But against this company, he might be swinging a little light.

4️⃣ Spice Runner (Steve Asmussen) – The most experienced runner and already a stakes winner and has Kentucky Derby points. He brings class to the gate — but will it be enough to turn up the heat on stronger rivals?

5️⃣ Litmus Test (Bob Baffert) – Cross-country shipper with a closing kick that can scorch late. The question is whether he’ll pass the ultimate test against deeper talent.

6️⃣ Ted Noffey (Todd Pletcher) – The buzz horse with star potential. Undefeated and explosive, this one could be the headline act on Derby Day — if he proves he’s more than hype.

7️⃣ Ewing (Mark Casse) – Pure early speed and a familiar family story. He’s bred for brilliance and knows only one way to run: catch me if you can.

🏇 Race Details:

📍 Keeneland – October 4, 2025

🏆 1 1/16 miles on dirt – A classic two-turn test for 2-year-olds

🎫 “Win and You’re In” for the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile

🏅 10 Kentucky Derby qualifying points to the winner

#ClaiborneBreedersFuturity #Keeneland #KentuckyDerbyTrail #BreedersCupJuvenile #RoadToTheKentuckyDerby #HorseRacing2025 #DerbyPrep #JuvenileContenders #HorseRacingAnalysis #ThoroughbredRacing #DerbyWatch #G1Racing

All tips are for informational purposes only.

Horse betting is not legal in every state, so if you are betting, make sure it is legal

Who will pop the Champagne on Saturday? The road to the 2026 Kentucky Derby heats up in New York as nine talented 2-year-olds take their shot at glory in the Grade 1 Champagne Stakes — a historic one-mile test run at Belmont at Aqueduct. The winner not only earns 10 Kentucky Derby qualifying points but also a coveted “Win and You’re In” berth into the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. This is where future stars are born, and where Derby dreams either ignite or evaporate.

I analyze all 9 contenders in this year’s Champagne — their form, ability to go the distance, and running style — with analysis that goes beyond the past performances. Stick around until the end, because some of these colts could be household names come next May.

🐎 Meet the Contenders (Champagne Stakes 2025 Field):

1️⃣ Curtain Call – (Trainer: Mark Casse) This colt is one of only two in the field with Grade 1 experience, exiting the G1 Hopeful Stakes at Saratoga. He’s already danced on the big stage — but can he deliver an encore when it matters most?

2️⃣ Stradale – (Trainer: Steve Asmussen) A $1.3 million purchase with a name that screams speed. He knows how to put the pedal down, but the question is: can he last the mile or will he hit empty before the finish line?

3️⃣ Universe – (Trainer: Kenny McPeek) Just one start and a modest speed figure, but with that pedigree, he might be ready to go supernova.

4️⃣ Aye Eye – (Trainer: Joseph Orseno) Plenty to like here with flashes of talent — but there are hurdles to clear before we crown him a contender.

5️⃣ Just ASAP – (Trainer: Mark Casse) Already proven at the mile. This one’s ready to roll — and might deliver ASAP.

6️⃣ It’s Our Time – (Trainer: Thomas Amoss) The buzz horse of the field. He dominated his debut and everyone wants to know: was that brilliance a one-time show, or is he about to put the division on notice?

7️⃣ Stickupwithoutagun – (Trainer: Kenny McPeek) This one’s going to have to pull off a heist to win with improvement needed

8️⃣ Napoleon Solo – (Trainer: Chad Summers) He’s been commanding the morning drills with three bullet workouts and is coming in like he’s planning to take over the race. Will he be a tactical genius or a reckless emperor?

9️⃣ Talkin – (Trainer: Danny Gargan) By Good Magic, who won this race in 2017, Talkin brings a pedigree for distance and a recent win over Stradale. If he’s talking the talk, he just might walk off with the trophy.

📊 Why the Champagne Stakes Matters:

🏆 A key Kentucky Derby prep race for 2-year-olds

🥇 Offers 10 qualifying points toward the 2025 Derby

🎫 Win and You’re In for the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile

📍 Historic 1-mile test on dirt at Belmont at Aqueduct

📺 Subscribe for more: Weekly previews, Derby trail analysis, Breeders' Cup Coverage Tips are for informational purposes only.

Horse Betting is not legal in every state so if you are betting, make sure it is legal.

Introduction music from YouTube Music Zydeco Piano Party by Media Right Productions Champagne pop is from Apple Final Cut Pro which I have permission for with my subscription to Apple Final Cut Pro

#champagnestakes #kentuckyderby #horseracing #horseracinganalysis #belmontstakes #preaknessstakes #preakness

The 2025 Toyota Blue Grass has powerhouses like River Thames, Owen Almighty, Burnham Square, and Chancer McPatrick in the race. What key stats will help you find your winner? I provide you with an overview of the pros, cons, stats, and past performance of the 7 runners in the race. The Toyota Blue Grass will be run on Tuesday April 8th, 2025 at Keeneland in Lexington, Kentucky. It awards 100 point to the winner and a guaranteed entry into the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Who do you think will go on to Kentucky Derby 151? Will it be lightly raced River Thames, trained by Todd Pletcher? This horse has shown speed and talent and still has plenty of upside. What about Render Judgment for Kenny McPeek. He has been in numerous Kentucky Derby prep races and just had a breakthrough race in the Virginia Derby. What about Burnham Square for Ian Wilkes? He has a powerful late kick. Can you forgive his performance in the Fountain of Youth? How about the pace setter, Owen Almighty who just won the Tampa Bay Derby in dominant fashion for his trainer Brian Lynch. Has East Avenue hit a dead end for Brendan Walsh or will coming back to Keeneland do the trick? Will Chancer McPatrick show the talent he flashed as a two year old for trainer Chad Brown and show everyone he can get the distance? What about Admiral Dennis for Brad Cox? Does the Brad Cox magic work again?

How do you choose between Journalism, Barnes, and Citizen Bull and what about newcomers Baeza and Westwood? I provide you with the stats you need to know as you compare these talented runners in the Santa Anita Derby. The 2025 Santa Anita Derby may only have 5 contenders competing for 75 points awarded to the winner, but it is a contentious field with horses lighting up the 2025 Kentucky Derby trail. The Santa Anita Derby is held on Saturday April 5th, 2025 and is a key stop on the road to the Kentucky Derby. Do you have the information you need to select your winner? Journalism, trained by Michael McCarthy, has won two Kentucky Derby prep races in amazing fashion and exhibited some of the best speed we have seen in the Kentucky Derby 151 prep races. He already has a win over Barnes, Bob Baffert's $3.2MM Into Mischief colt named after his longtime assistant, Jimmy Barnes. Barnes is talented and also has great speed ratings. Then there is Citizen Bull, also trained by Bob Baffert, who is our two year old champ, winning the Breeders' Cup Juvenile race. He is all class and fast as well. Finally trainer John Shirreffs enters two horses, Westwood, who is still a maiden, and Baeza, the Santa Anita buzz horse.

Need an all inclusive guide to the 2025 Wood Memorial? It is time to find your winner of the 2025 Wood Memorial, a key Kentucky Derby prep race which is being run on Saturday April 5, 2025 at Aqueduct in New York. I provide you with a thorough review of the stats and performances of all 12 contenders and give you some angles to consider. 100 Kentucky Derby points are awarded to the Wood Memorial winner meaning the winner is guaranteed an entry into the Kentucky Derby 151 starting gate. The Wood Memorial is celebrating 100 years of greatness in 2025. This year's race will be competitive with 12 horses in the field. Are you ready to find your winner? Will you select Todd Pletcher's horse, Grande, knowing that Todd Pletcher has won this race 7x in the last 15 years? How about Linda Rice's horse Sand Devil or Bob Baffert's horse Rodriguez as they show some of the best speed? Will you pick a closer, like Chad Brown's Hill Road or Michael Gorham's Omaha Omaha? What about the winner of the Withers, Captain Cook trained by Rick Dutrow, Jr? He was strong in the Withers, will he be as strong on Saturday? Or what about Rick Dutrow's other horse, McAfee, who is a wildcard in this race? Will you pick a newbie to the Kentucky Derby trail and select Tiger Twenty Four, Bear Claw Necklace, Passion Rules, or Statesman? Will it be My Mitole who ran in the Gotham and finished fourth?

Do you want key insights into the 2025 Florida Derby contenders. I take you through the angles, the pros, cons, and key stats of all 10 contenders. The Florida Derby is a premier Kentucky Derby prep race that awards 100 points to the winner and a guaranteed entry into the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Who will will the race on Saturday March 29, 2025 run at 1 and 1/8 miles at Gulfstream Park in Hallandale Beach Florida? Will Sovereignty reign supreme for Bill Mott or will the outside gate prove to be a challenge? Will Disruptor disrupt the field and bring win #9 home for Todd Pletcher? Will Madaket Road bring Bob Baffert another starter into the Kentucky Derby 151 starting gate?Will Neoeqous prove the distance is not a challenge for him and win for Joseph Saffie, Jr.? How about Jimmy’s Dailys? He is entering a Kentucky Derby prep race for the first time. Can Tappan Street show his talent and bring Brad Cox to the winner’s circle? Can Cool Intentions, Smoke Boy, Indecisiveness, or Enterdadragon run more than their odds will suggest? All will be decided in the Florida Derby.

Are you ready to find the 2024 Arkansas Derby winner? Watch as I give you key stats and angles on all nine horses entering the starting gate at Oaklawn Park Saturday March 29, 2025. One horse will earn 100 Kentucky Derby points and earn their way into the 2025 Kentucky starting gate. The field is set but do you have what you need to select your winner? Are you team Coal Battle from the Lonnie Briley barn? Can Coal Battle keep that winning edge? Do you think Bob Baffert's new entry, Cornucopian, to the Kentucky Derby field has it all and will live up to his low morning line odds? What about Sandman? Trained by Mark Casse, this horse is consistent. Will Speed King for Ron Moquett live up to his name? Can Publisher from the Steve Asmussen barn find his way to the winner's circle for the very first time? Will Monet's Magic use his magic and stun the crowd, bringing his trainer Ben Colebrook the win? Will First Division be Kenny McPeek's 2025 Kentucky Derby horse? Will Bestfriend Rocket shoot his way to the stars? Will Brereton's Baytown upset the field at odds of 30-1?

Want an all inclusive guide to the 2025 Louisiana Derby? Watch as I give you key angles and stats that help you find your winner! 10 horses are lining up on Saturday March 22, 2025 to compete in the Louisiana Derby at the Fairgrounds in New Orleans to get 100 points and start in the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Who will have the winning edge? This is a very evenly matched race without a clear favorite but knowing the stats, plusses, and minuses can help you with your selection. Brad Cox enters the race with two runners, #1 John Hancock and #9 Instant Replay. Brad Cox at the Fairgrounds in New Orleans has a winning edge and John Hancock and Instant Replay both have speed to challenge the other runners. Then there is the #2 horse Chunk of Gold who stunned as the second place finisher in the Risen Star. His superpower is late speed. Steve Asmussen has won this race 4 times and brings the consistent board hitter #3 Tiztastic and newcomer #4 Yinzer. MyRacehorse's #5 Caldera took on Getaway Car in the Sunland Park Derby and is looking to get on the Kentucky Derby trail for hall of fame trainer, D Wayne Lukas. #6 horse is Built who has a solid foundation at the Fairgrounds in all the Kentucky Derby prep races. Will blinkers make the difference? Todd Pletcher, who has the most wins in this race at 5, brings Vassimo, a horse with heart. The #8 horse is Furio and this will be his first Kentucky Derby prep race. The #10 horse, Hypnus, comes out of the Rebel, where he found all sorts of trouble. Will Hypnus have a better race in the Louisiana Derby?

Watch to find your winner of the 2025 Virginia Derby! I provide you with a preview of all 9 contenders in the Virginia Derby at Colonial Downs in New Kent County, Virginia giving you stats, figures, and past performances. This will be a historic year as it is the first time the Virginia Derby is being run on the dirt coupled with awarding Kentucky Derby points to the winner. Bob Baffert brings the 9-5 morning line favorite, Getaway Car, who is a solid top contender. There are two longshots I identify that may give Getaway Car a run for his money. Will you be calling on Calling Card to win the race? Will American Promise deliver on his promise as a $750K colt by Justify? Will Omaha Omaha make the call, fly in late and hit the board? Will Studlydoright be in the right place at the right time? Will Getaway Car pull away with the win and be in Bob Baffert's stable of Kentucky Derby contenders? Will Rapture continue his progression and capture it all? Will Authentic Gallop run all the way to the winner's circle? Will Render Judgment declare himself the winner and bring Kenny McPeek back to the Kentucky Derby? Can the 30-1 longshot Georgia Magic bring the magic?

Are you ready to pick a winner in the 2025 Tampa Bay Derby? 7 horses are contending for 50 Kentucky Derby points in the Tampa Bay Derby. Who is ready to dominate this 1 and 1/16th mile race on Saturday March 8th, 2025? We all have been awaiting the return of Chancer McPatrick, and the question will be is he ready to go? Or will his stablemate, Hill Road shock the field like he did in the Breeders Cup Juvenile? What about Owen Almighty? He knows this track, has great speed, and can get the distance. He will need to fight for the lead with Brodeur and Patch Adams. Although Patch Adams came in 4th in the G3 Southwest Stakes, his run in that race gives us one of the best speeds at this distance among these contenders. But will the pace heat up and give Filoso, the closer, a shot in this race? With Naughty Rascal spoil all the fun? Join me as I walk you through the stats and performances to help you select a winner! All tips are for informational purposes only Subscribe! Never miss out on my Kentucky Derby coverage

Watch to select the winner of the 2025 Fountain of Youth Stakes and what historical angles can you use to find your winner. I provide you will an in-depth preview of each horse, taking you through their past performances and providing the most important metrics. At the end I give you a summary of angles based on the last 10 runnings of the Fountain of Youth Stakes. This is your one stop shop to help you select the winner of the Fountain of Youth Stakes. The Fountain of Youth Stakes is a 1 and 1/16th mile race held at Gulfstream Park and is a key Kentucky Derby prep race, awarding 50 points to the winner. Who will emerge victorious and get to the winner's circle? Will it be either of Todd Pletcher's horses, Gate to Wire or River Thames, keeping Todd Pletcher as a dominant trainer in this race? Both match the angles identified. Will Sovereignty live up to his name and pedigree or will the race shape play against him? Will Burnham Square keep his Kentucky Derby dreams alive and find the winner's circle again after his victory in the Holy Bull? Will Neoequos or Take It Easy show their talent and emerge as the top longshot picks? Join me for a discussion of all contenders and comment on who you like.

This is your one stop shop to find all you need to know about each horse in the 2025 Rebel Stakes. I give you the metrics and stats to find your winner out of the 14 horses. The Rebel Stakes is a key Kentucky Derby points race, 1 and 1/16th mile distance, held at Oaklawn Park on Sunday February 23rd. 14 horses are competing for the 50 Kentucky Derby points awarded to the winner of this race. Will it be Coal Battle who has already won two Kentucky Derby points races including the Remington Springboard Mile and the Smarty Jones, here at Oaklawn? Or will we see Sandman get out of the gate well and use his late speed to end up in the Winner’s Circle? Will it be Hypnus? He only has one race but was a winner. Bob Baffert, who has won this race 8 times since 2010, sends Madaket Road to Oaklawn to pick up win #9. Will Madaket Road be able to go the distance? Will Steve Asmussen fire with one of his two long shots, Publisher who has yet to get a win or Tiztastic, a solid horse who tends to find his way to hit the board? Can Dreaminblue make his dreams come true and show his speed rating puts him on par with the more seasoned runners in this group? Will Innovator pull an upset and win for trainer D Wayne Lukas? Will Dallas Stewart stun us with Smoken Wicked who has won in his last three races? Will it be Bullard, a solid contender in this race? Will Speed King live up to his name and go gate to wire as he did in the Southwest? All will be revealed on Sunday. All tips are for informational purposes only

Do you need help choosing among the 13 horses in the 2025 Risen Star? I am here for you. I give you all of the statistics, the pros and cons of each horse, allowing you to find your winner. The Risen Star, held at the Fairgrounds in New Orleans is a key Kentucky Derby prep race awarding 50 points to the winner. Many horses that hit the board at the Kentucky Derby competed in the Risen Star including Epicenter, Sierra Leone, Angel of Empire, and Mandaloun. This year we have 13 horses competing, a very deep field of talented runners. Let me help you find the winner! Will it be American Promise, trained by legendary D Wayne Lukas, who has only graced the winner's circle once but who has fast speed? Or well regarded Jonathan's Way, winner of the Iroquois and runner-up in the Kentucky Jockey Club? How about the undefeated Vassimo who is stepping up in class and who has Irad Ortiz Jr flying in for this race? Will we see East Avenue get back to dominance going gate to wire? Seattle Road has late speed, will he be picking up pieces at the end? Can Septarian live up to the promise of his connections with trainer Chad Brown and jockey Flavien Prat? Will Keith Desormeaux surprise with a longshot in Giocoso? Can Built continue to lay the foundation for strong performances at the Fairgrounds? Can Vamos Carlitos fill out verticals with his strong late kick? Can Steve Asmussen get win #4 in this race with Magnitude who has to overcome post position 13?

Next stop on the road to the 2025 Kentucky Derby is the Sam F. Davis Stakes at Tampa Bay Downs in Tampa Bay, Florida. This 1 and 1/16th dirt race on Saturday Feb 8, 2025 awards 20 Kentucky Derby points to the winner. I give you all the stats, pros, cons of each of the 10 horses, helping you find a winner. Who will win the Sam F. Davis in 2025? Will it be Camp Hale who has yet to win a race but has tenacity and grit and blazing hot workouts? Or will it be Treaty of Rome with Chad Brown and Dylan Davis teaming up to win the Kentucky Derby points? It may be John Hancock, trained by Brad Cox with Flavien Prat aboard, who only has one race under his belt but what an impressive race it was. What about Owen Almighty? Will he avenge the recent disqualification and show what a dominant horse he is? It may be the undefeated Poster who was very impressive in the G2 Remsen and who is looking to continue his winning streak. What about Naughty Rascal who has home track advantage and dueled Owen Almighty in his last start? Possibly the winner is Smoken Boy who had very impressive wins in Puerto Rico.

Preview all 7 contenders in the 2025 Holy Bull Stakes with bonus coverage of the Withers at Aqueduct and the Robert B Lewis at Santa Anita; all three are points races for the 2025 Kentucky Derby. The Holy Bull Stakes at Gulfstream Park in Hallandale Beach Florida is a key prep race on the road to the 2025 Kentucky Derby awarding 20 points to the winner. This is a deep field and facts and figures will help you find your winner. Going a mile and a sixteenth, 7 horses are contending for the win. Will it be Kinetic Control who is an intriguing horse in this field if he can get out of the gate well. What about Ferocious? We haven't seen him in the Winner's Circle since his maiden win at Saratoga but he is getting blinkers and has the class. Tappan Street has one race and one win with high expectations being a $1MM purchase by Into Mischief. Guns Loaded has Irad Ortiz, Gulfstream's leading jockey, and two wins in three starts but he has yet to go this distance. He's Not Joking must prove he can excel on the dirt but don't let him fool you! Burning Glory is getting better and better with each race and has excellent late speed. Burnham Square has a win at Gulfstream at this distance by 9 lengths but does not have the class as some of the other runners. Oh and there is bonus coverage of key horses in the Withers and Robert B Lewis, also points races for the 2025 Kentucky Derby.

The Southwest Stakes produced our Kentucky Derby winner in 2024, Mystik Dan. Who is racing to victory in the 2025 Southwest Stakes and will claim the coveted Kentucky Derby points? Join me as I cover each of the 10 horses racing at Oaklawn on Saturday January 25th in the Southwest Stakes, a Kentucky Derby points race offering 20 points to the winner. I provide statistics and figures and explain the strengths and weaknesses of each horse. In the end, you decide who your winner is. Will Bob Baffert continue his domination in this race with Gaming? Or will Brad Cox with Patch Adams race another stunning race after winning by 10 lengths last time out? Will Sandman continue his improvement and beat them both for the win? Or will it be American Promise who is also progressing with each start? Will Speed King live up to his name?

Don’t miss out on finding your winner in the 2025 Lecomte Stakes. I bring you all the key stats for each of the 14 contenders in the Lecomte Stakes, making it easy for you to understand their past performances so you can pick a winner. The Lecomte Stakes is a Kentucky Derby prep race with 20 points on the line for the winner. It is a 1 and 1/16 mile race at the Fairgrounds in Louisiana. Who will come home with the coveted 2025 Kentucky Derby points? Will it be the favorite, Built, trained by Wayne Catalano and ridden by Jareth Loveberry, who recently won the Gunrunner at the Fairgrounds going 1 and 1/16 miles? Or will Brad Cox continue his strong performance at the Fairgrounds with Disco Time or Admiral Dennis? Will Innovator be the longshot, trained by D Wayne Lukas, and go gate to wire? Will Magnitude, trained by Steve Asmussen turn the tables on Built this time out? Will Optical be a longshot winner for Keith Desormeaux like Call Me Midnight was in 2022? Is MoBetterthanGood really Mobetterthangood? Will Nick Vaccarezza get the win with Golden Afternoon? Will Dallas Stewart show us why he is known for producing upsets with Tough Catch or Dapper Moon? Preview the horses who would like to be in the Kentucky Derby starting gates.

Preview all the horses running in the 2025 Jerome Stakes who are vying for 2025 Kentucky Derby points. The Jerome Stakes is a mile race at Aqueduct and awards Kentucky Derby points to the winner. Who will win the points? Will it be one of the Rick Dutrow horses #3 ICAN or #8 McAfee? McAfee is the half brother to potential 2024 Horse of the Year, Thorpedo Anna. Or will we see #7 Studlydoright back in the Winners Circle with the cutback in distance? Will #6 Cyclone State show his talent and his speed to win the race? Will the pace set up for #4 Omaha Omaha who likes to come from behind? Comment of who you like in the Jerome Stakes.

8 horses seek to win the 2025 Smarty Jones at Oaklawn Park and bring home Kentucky Derby points. Run on Saturday January 4th, 8 horses will go a mile and a sixteenth in hopes they win 10 points for the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Will the win go to the favorite Hot Property who is trained by Brad Cox and will be ridden by record breaking jockey Flavien Prat? This horse only has one race under his belt but he went gate to wire at this distance. Or will Coal Battle add to his existing 10 Kentucky Derby points? Will it be Optical who is one of two horses to win at a mile or longer distance in a non maiden race? What about Bon Temps, who D Wayne Lukas is bringing back in just two weeks? Will Kale's Angel or Curvino bring a win for Peter Miller? Comment on who you like to win.

2024 Gun Runner Preview: 5 horses compete in the 2024 Gun Runner Stakes for 2025 Kentucky Derby points. In this preview, you will learn about all five as I dive into their past performances and accomplishments. Who will you choose as a winner for the Gun Runner Stakes? Will it be Built, a horse that showed a lot of talent in a super fast paced race at Keeneland? Or maybe Render Judgment - is he Kenny McPeek's next Kentucky Derby winner? What about Magnitude who has a win at this distance? Chris's Revenge is the #4 horse trained by Brittany Russell who has an impressive win rate with these types of horses. Or maybe it is Admiral Dennis, trained by Brad Cox, who is the morning line favorite. Tell me who your favorite is.

The 2024 Remsen Stakes is scheduled to have 7 runners competing for the coveted 2025 Kentucky Derby points. The Remsen Stakes is 1 and 1/8 mile at Aqueduct, a true test of stamina as 5 of the contenders have run less than a 1 and 1/16 miles. Who will take home the Kentucky Derby points? Will it be Tux, who recently broke his maiden for Bill Mott? Will it be one of the Chad Brown horses - Aviator Gui or Keewaydin, the morning line favorite? What about Studlydoright? He's done right in all races except for the G1 Hopeful. Could Eoin Harty win another 2025 Kentucky Derby points race with a turf to dirt winner like Poster?

Get to know the Kentucky Jockey Club contenders wanting to earn 2025 Kentucky Derby points by winning this Kentucky Derby prep race. The Kentucky Jockey Club is November 30th at Churchill Downs. Who will take home the Derby points? Will the Woodbine invader, He's Not Joking, come away with the win? Will Jonathan's Way rebound from his disappointing effort in Breeders' Cup Juvenile Race? Will Filoso come from behind and steal the points away? Or will Sonic Skidaddle or Redacted show us that two year olds can improve greatly from race to race.